Military against Iran invasion?

Andrew Exum offers reasons against war on Iran, from a military perspective:

Leaving aside the relative merits of a strike against the Iranians, why might America’s military resist such action? First, consider the fact that the US has at the moment 162,000 troops in Iraq, 30,000 in Kuwait, 4,500 in Bahrain and 3,300 in Qatar – not to mention the two carrier battle groups in the Gulf or the 8,500 troops on the ground in Afghanistan. In the event of an American or Israeli strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities, for example, the troops in Iraq, the Gulf and Afghanistan would be in even greater danger than they already are, vulnerable to an Iranian counterattack or, more likely, an Iranian-sponsored terror campaign.

Second, there exists a tremendous sense of guilt among the US senior officer corps for what is seen as a failure to stand up to the civilian leadership in the rush to go to war against Iraq in 2002 and 2003. Much of the current divide between America’s generals and its junior officer corps boils down to a sense on the part of junior officers that their superiors largely acquiesced to whatever Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said in the run-up to the Iraq war. The charge of spinelessness is one that hurts America’s generals, especially as it comes from lieutenants and captains who have proven themselves on the battlefield of Iraq.

Third, in the wake of the Iraq war, professional military officers are more suspicious than ever of think-tank types with theories on how easy military victories can be achieved. As an active-duty US Army officer recently told me: “If I hear one more lawyer with no military experience explain to me how air power alone really can do it this time, I’m going to kill him.”

Can’t we just have a military coup right now, please?

0 thoughts on “Military against Iran invasion?”

  1. War against Iran is Humanitarian cause. And please dont reiterate the fashionable cliches about Sunni hatred of shiaas. It is not about shiaas and Sunnis, but rather the Irani criminal role in Iraq. Redefining demography in a core Arab country by pushing miilions of Iranian settlers in Iraq, emppowering Iranian-Iraqis. and the most horrible of all, is the ethnic cleansing of shiite Arab clans in the south, seculars, christians, Palestinians and anyone who dares to oppose the Irani role in Iraq.

    Iraq was a secular country where shiites constituted the majority of Baathists and the republican guards which forced the horrible Khomeini to sip poison. the revolution of the retards in Iran resited the attempts of the Iraqi government to secualrise and modernise the south.

    And it doesnt really take an expert to tell that Iran is the main power behind the ascendance of sectarian discourse in the region, as it is the only way that factual entity could ever play a role in region where it has been shut out for thousands of years except during the times of the bloody barabric different empires of Achamenids, Parthians, and Sassanids.

    I hope you wont dodge the coreline a usual by accusing me of sectariansim.

    I am really fed up with all those democrats, liberals and left wingers who are following who are impresed by the farting demagogues in Qom. Why cant you see the horrible bloody crimes Irean is commiting in Iraq? If you are an Arabist as you claim then you hate Iran for what it is doing. Practically speaking, the blood bath in Iraq will never stop unless the hands of Iran is cut off the Arab world

  2. Well, war against Iran is Humanitarian cause. And please don’t reiterate the fashionable clichés about Sunni hatred of shiaas. It is not about shiaas and Sunnis, but rather the Irani criminal role in Iraq. Redefining demography in a core Arab country by pushing millions of Iranian settlers in Iraq, empowering Iranian-Iraqis. and the most horrible of all, is the ethnic cleansing of shiite Arab clans in the south, seculars, Christians, Palestinians and anyone who dares to oppose the Irani role in Iraq.

    Iraq was a secular country where shiites constituted the majority of Baathists and the republican guards which forced the horrible Khomeini to sip poison. the revolution of the retards in Iran resisted the attempts of the Iraqi government to secularise and modernise the south.

    And it doesn’t really take an expert to tell that Iran is the main power behind the ascendance of sectarian discourse in the region, as it is the only way that factual entity could ever play a role in region where it has been shut out for thousands of years except during the times of the bloody barabric different empires of Achamenids, Parthians, and Sassanid.

    I hope you wont dodge the coralline a usual by accusing me of sectarianism.

    I am really fed up with all those democrats, liberals and left wingers who are following who are impressed by the farting demagogues in Qom. Why cant you see the horrible bloody crimes Iran is committing in Iraq? If you are an Arabist as you claim then you hate Iran for what it is doing. Practically speaking, the blood bath in Iraq will never stop unless the hands of Iran is cut off the Arab world

  3. Its only a matter of time with the us marine build up Afghanistan is not for the fighting there I believe. Its for a ground assault on Iran after Isreal and American forces take out all of Irans nuke power and there military
    ground controls and electrical plants. Along with Iraq bases we will be on two of there borders. We will never let Iran have NUKES

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