In my visits to Cairo bakeries last week, I was amused and a bit disconcerted to see to what extent the bread shortage has already become a “sensitive” issue–one that gets enfolded, as usual, with all sorts of paranoid nationalist discourse. At both bakeries I stopped at, men emerged immediately from the crowd to harangue me and tell everybody else, basically, to keep their mouth shut and not tell foreigners about the country’s problems. One man held on at length (and high volume) about how the bread crisis was a Western conspiracy against Egypt and about how Egypt in fact had everything it needed, so much so that it hosted people from all over the Arab world. At the second bakery, a young man assured me “there is no bread crisis, and in fact there never was a bread crisis to begin with.” The people around him pointed out that he was with the President’s National Democratic Party and laughed while he insisted that “there is bread everywhere.” In general, the people I spoke to showed a combination of anger, suspicion of me as a foreign journalist (not unusual) and embarrassment–I’d guess that people are a bit shocked to discover themselves a country where people kill each other for a few loaves of bread. It shows how desperate things have become. And it explains the denial.
Tag: economics
Egypt’s looming bread crisis
Too busy to blog right now, but you should definitely watch this and follow the coverage of the growing crisis over bread shortages in Egypt:
Also read:
FT.com / In depth – Egypt weighs cost of daily bread
Al-Ahram Weekly | Economy | Fuelling rumours and discontent
BBC NEWS | World | Middle East | Egyptians hit by rising food prices
Boomtime for knights in Lebanon
The Lebanese authorities, like every country, issue out statistics on various economic indicators. Below is the chart that shows the number of employment permits issued for various professions between 2003 and 2005. Click to get a bigger image and look at under “specialized professions,” where there is a category for “knight.” A holdover from the Crusades?
Striking for a livable minimum wage in Mahalla
Hossam has updates on the latest blue collar workers’ strike in Mahalla al-Kubra, the heart of Egypt’s textile industry, where some 10,000 have taken to the street to demand a new national minimum wage:
Only one day before the convening of the National Council for Wages (the govt entity in charge of setting the minimum wage, and which has not convened since the mid 80s!!!) 10,000 textile workers from Ghazl el-Mahalla took to the streets around 4pm demanding raising the national minimum (monthly) wage to LE1200.
Follow his post for analysis and the latest news. For context, most workers currently make only a few hundred pounds.
Marriage, religion and idleness
As part of a new series on youth and religion, the New York Times ran an article today on young people in Egypt. The article, by Michael Slackman, basically argues that economic and social frustration and the inability to get married at a young age has driven many to become more pious:
The despair extends to rural Egypt, always a traditional, religious environment, but one that ambitious young people long to escape. In the village of Shamandeel, not far from Zagazig, it took Walid Faragallah six years after graduating with a degree in psychology to find a job in a factory, and his pay was less than $50 a month. That is an average period of waiting — and average pay — for new entries in the job market. Mr. Faragallah kept that job for a year, and recently found another factory job for $108 a month, two hours from his home.
“It brings us closer to God, in a sense,� Mr. Faragallah said, speaking of the despair he felt during the years he searched for work. “But sometimes, I can see how it does not make you closer to God, but pushes you toward terrorism. Practically, it killed my ambition. I can’t think of a future.�
So far so much usual socio-economic analysis of the religiosity of Arab youth. But it’s interesting that when they provided an Arabic translation of the article and solicited young Egyptians’ points of view on it, this is the reply they got:
After discussing the article with three of four different groups of students, I found that the answers were surprisingly uniform: yes, the government holds them back. Yes, it’s too costly to find an apartment, furnish it, get married and live a happy life in it. But they all asked pretty much asked: “What does this have to do with the religion mentioned in your story?�
“You say our religiosity comes from economical and social pressure,� Muhammad Salah, a 21-year-old engineering student told me. “This is not true. Of course, we are under heavy pressure, but this has nothing to do with religion, and everything to do with the government.�
This was the point of contention — they enjoyed the article because it was critical of the government and raised issues they could relate to. But they did not see the connection between government failure and lack of opportunity with their emboldened faith. Being religious, they say, is about leading a good life. For them, it’s a gesture of free will, an individual choice disconnected from larger issues. Determinism plays no part in it.
The thing that struck most about the article, and which I recognized from everyday life in Egypt, is not so much the pervasiveness of religion but the central role idleness plays in young people’s lives — fear of boredom, empty hour to fill, the feeling that it can lead to trouble. From the end of the article:
There is a mosque a few steps from the front door of their house. But an Islamic tradition holds that the farther you walk to the mosque the more credit earned with God. So every Friday, Mr. Sayyid walks past the mosque by his home, and past a few more mosques, before he reaches the Sayeda Zeinab mosque.
“By being religious, God prevents you from doing wrong things,� Mr. Sayyid said, revealing his central fear and motivation, that time and boredom will lead him to sin. “This whole atmosphere we live in is wrong, wrong.�
If unemployed, prospect-less youth are indeed turning to the mosque, it might be less because of despair-induced spirituality than lack of anything better to do: as Franz Kafka said, idleness is the beginning of all vice and the crown of all virtues.
(And incidentally, there is an Egyptian proverb that says “the idle hand is impure” ( الإيد البطّالة نجسة), as well as passages and many interpretations of the Quran that warn against idleness as leading to sin– one Saudi proverb claims “the devil tempts idle men, but idle men tempt the devil. And perhaps most beautiful of all, an old Middle Eastern proverb that may predate Arabic that claims that “The dust of labor is better than the saffron of idleness.”)
Cairo and Pyongyang
Now, there’s business, too. Maybe inspired by Orascom Construction Industries investments in the North-Korean cement industry, Orascom Telecom undertakes to build up North Korea’s mobile phone network.
From afp:
It was unclear how widely the Orascom Telecom service would be available to the public. Spokespersons were not immediately available for comment.
North Korea began a mobile phone service in November 2002. But 18 months later, it banned ordinary citizens from using the service and began recalling unauthorised handsets.
There is still thought to be a mobile network in Pyongyang which is open for government officials. Most foreigners are not allowed to use mobile phones inside the country.
Links January 20th and January 21st
Automatically posted links for January 20th through January 21st:
- al-Qaida Solicits Questions Online – Questions include “why haven’t you opened a new front in Egypt” and more depressing idiocy
- Measuring liberty | When freedom stumbles | Economist.com – Look at the charts: in 1982 Egypt was “partly free,” now it is “not free”
- Economics focus | Selling sex | Economist.com – Interesting article on the economics of prostitution
- HAMAS ASKS EGYPT TO REOPEN RAFAH BORDER – Hamas puts Cairo on the spot
- Translating the Party of God into English – Quilty reviews Hizbullah in translation
- Review: Loaded Dice by Neill Lochery – Debunking of idea that UK Foreign Office is pro-Arab or anti-Israel
- The rise and decline of London as a pan-Arab media hub – Media critic Najm Jarrah
- An Israeli Law for Censorship of Web Comments – Elijah points to a bill in the Knesset that would enable libel laws for web comments
- Why does Johnny come marching homeless? – How Iraq veterans with psychological problems end up homeless
- Those troublesome engineers « Kafr al-Hanadwa – SP has a good post on why engineers are over-represented in Islamist groups
There goes EgyptAir
If it continues to refuse improving its services, the airline will be swept away by competition once Egyptian civil aviation is liberalized (which is why that hasn’t happened yet, but there are hints the government is losing its patience with the airline.)
Egypt has (except for regional airports) not yet signed the BlueSkies agreement with the EU (unlike Morocco, in a way a competitor on the Middle Eastern tourism market), which amongst other things allows foreign airlines to fly to Cairo and then on to other destinations, thus competing with EgyptAir’s domestic flights.
Enter Nassef
Now, France’s Lafarge has bought OCI’s cement operations in a 14.9 billion dollar deal, and in return Nassef gets an 11.4 pct stake in Lafarge plus two seats on the company’s board of directors.
Analysts say OCI wants to focus on construction and infrastructure, but – as you can never quite separate business from politics in the Middle East – I’m wondering whether the Sawiris’ truly believe the Middle Eastern cement boom is over or whether we’re rather seeing a long-term strategy of the three brothers to move part of their assets away from Egypt (and the Middle East).
Their relations with the ruling family don’t seem to be as strong as in the case of other Egyptian business tycoons (which means the impact of Mubarak’s death will not be as strong), but I guess we’ll have to wait for the full picture (on this one as on so many other things) until the Pharao has moved on to another life.
In any case, the proceeds from the sale will be paid out to shareholders as special dividend – i.e. mostly to the Sawiris themselves.
I’m wondering what the brothers are up to with so much cash.
Del.icio.us links for November 20th
- List of invitees to Mideast peace talks – Yahoo! News – How do I get an invite?
- Obama: I tried drugs as a teen (AP) – Kids: do drugs and drink, it doesn’t matter you might still be president or at least senator.
- Divorce in Egypt every six minutes (iafrica.com) –
- Islamists Today: The Man Who Once Secretly Ruled the Islamic Jihad Speaks out – Khalil Enani looks at the man at the center of the Islamic Jihad recantation
- The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Annapolis and After – ICG report suggests getting serious in Annapolis, notably by including Hamas and Syria
- Sandmonkey Tales: Abdel Monem and me – Sandmonkey is stirring shit again…
- In West Bank, Checkpoints Splinter Palestinian Economy – WSJ.com – West Bank economy “shattered”, says World Bank
- Wealthy Nations In Gulf Rethink Peg to Dollar – WSJ.com – To peg or not to peg?
- FOXNews.com – Egyptian Woman Files for Divorce Over Husband’s Refusal to Shower – Another great headline
- Le Monde.fr : Les bars a  narguilés menacés de fermeture le 1er janvier – France to close down shisha bars